The LynnLeigh Journal 1 | Page Welcome to The LynnLeigh Journal October 2023 The Dark Side of Home Improvement By Kelly L. Olczak, CFP® The National Council on Aging recently shared a story about a scammer who targeted a homeowner in Massachusetts. The victim alleged that a contractor damaged his home’s foundation and didn’t return to finish the work—even after taking thousands of dollars in payments. Since 2007, 109,000 home improvement scams have been reported to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), resulting in about $207 million in losses in roughly the same period. But that may just be the tip of the iceberg, since many victims of scams do not report the crime. Sadly, scammers often seek out older homeowners, who they expect to be more trusting, wealthier, and more likely to have memory or cognitive problems. The value of home improvement Of course, there are many legitimate home improvement outfits out there. Many businesses suffered during the pandemic lockdowns, but homeowners funneled an estimated $420 billion Life. Investing. And Everything in Between ctober 2023
The LynnLeigh Journal 2 | Page into remodeling projects in 2020 alone, according to Money, as lockdowns and social distancing curtailed outside entertainment. Making improvements to your home not only enhances your enjoyment but also increases the return on investment (ROI) if and when it is time to sell. The projects you decide to tackle may be influenced by the ROI, your personal choices, or a combination of those and other things. For many of us, our home is the largest purchase we will make. You may want to consider ways to increase its value. According to the National Association of Realtors 2022 Remodeling Impact Report, hardwood floor refinishing and new wood flooring provide the top return, 147% cost recovery and 118%, respectively. Insulation upgrades offered 100% cost recovery. Bathroom renovation and kitchen upgrades don’t top the list in terms of investment but do improve your own enjoyment of your home. They provided 67% and 63% return on cost, respectively. Of course, these are simply averages. Location plays a big role in the value of your upgrades. And it goes without saying that a very expensive renovation in a modestly priced house will lead to a diminished ROI. If you are planning to sell your home, an experienced real estate agent can help you find the sweet spot between outlays and returns. The dark side of home improvement Home remodeling isn’t as simple as walking into Walmart or Home Depot and making a purchase. There is a high level of comfort that a major retailer will provide a good product and stand behind its warranty. Home improvement companies, however, are everywhere and exist at every level of quality. Some are trustworthy, and their work stands out. Others are looking to make a fast buck. Quality of work isn’t a high consideration.
The LynnLeigh Journal 3 | Page Then there are actual scammers who make empty promises and leave you, your finances, and your home worse off than when you started. They have one goal—take your money and leave you with little value. Trust but verify How can you tell if a contractor might not be reputable? According to the FTC, these behaviors are red flags: • Scammers knock on doors, claiming to be “in the area” looking for business. • Scammers claim they have materials left over from a previous job, which will save you money. • They pressure you into an immediate decision. • They ask you to pay for everything upfront and/or only accept cash. • They ask you to get the required building permits. o OK, I have some personal experience with this one! In 2020, our home was hit by 7 trees after a horrible windstorm… SO much fun. I learned that the homeowner is 100% responsible to ensure permits are obtained, accurate information is given to the town and inspections are done after the work is completed. Homeowners should never rely on the contractor to do this because the buck falls on the homeowner later on if anything is off. • Scammers suggest you borrow money from a lender they know. • They won’t sign a contract but insist on a handshake deal. • These seem almost obvious, but con artists don’t become con artists without learning the art of persuasion. They put you at ease. They engender trust and your guard comes down. Here is how it might work: A friendly home improvement tradesman might knock on your door and tell you they have noticed a problem with your house. They offer to inspect the issue at no cost and then provide a quote that seems reasonable because they just happen to have an oversupply of materials from a prior job, so they can give you a deal.
The LynnLeigh Journal 4 | Page When you agree to their proposal, they insist on a large deposit or 100% payment upfront. Or they might request a payment method that isn’t common, such as an online money transfer or prepaid debit card. Once your cash is in their hands, they disappear. Step back for a moment and review this scenario. Somebody you don’t know knocks on your door and demands a big cash payment for work they haven’t yet performed. They would have to be pretty charming, because that’s a huge red flag. Homeowners are often targeted by scammers posing as contractors after a natural disaster, promising low-cost repairs and pressuring them to act quickly. But again, after taking the deposit, the service provider may disappear, or the work may be poorly executed or left incomplete. Another scenario is when a project snowballs. After a contractor starts your project, they may try to persuade you that there are additional, costlier problems that require your immediate attention. If you refuse to authorize additional work, they may threaten to abandon the project, leaving it unfinished. Another move is to intentionally perform low-quality work to ensure repeat business. Be alert. If something doesn’t feel right, you are under no obligation to move forward. How to avoid scammers Here are some ways you can greatly reduce your odds of being victimized. • Consider only contractors who are licensed and insured. o Another situation where we have personal experience! A vast majority of duties performed by contractors do not have any kind of license (this is a common thing
The LynnLeigh Journal 5 | Page my personal contractor educated me on - there is so much misinformation about being “licensed”). Insurance though is very important. • Get recommendations from family and friends. • Check with the local Home Builders Association and consumer protection officials to see if they have complaints against a contractor. • Research a business online and read reviews but keep in mind that they may not be perfect. Instead, focus on the center of gravity, i.e., the bulk of reviews, and how complaints are handled. • Get written estimates and read the contract carefully. • Don’t pay the full amount up front. A downpayment will likely be required but avoid those who want full payment upfront. Loan scams Your remodeling project may be financed by cash in the bank or a home equity loan. Be careful about your financing: • Never agree to financing through your contractor without shopping around and comparing loan terms. • Never agree to any loan without understanding the terms of the loan. • Don’t sign a document that you haven’t read or one that contains blank spaces. • Don’t let anyone pressure you into signing an agreement. Once again, let me remind you to be alert. If something doesn’t feel right, you are under no obligation to move forward. If you have been the unfortunate victim of a scam, report the crime to your state attorney general’s office, the state’s consumer protection office, the BBB, your local media’s call for action lines, and the National Association of Homebuilders. Many home improvement companies pride themselves on their workmanship. You can greatly reduce the likelihood of falling prey to a scam by taking some simple precautions and learning about the reputation of the company you are hiring.
The LynnLeigh Journal 6 | Page Brief Market Update Seasonal doldrums Historically, August and September have provided disappointing returns for investors, according to monthly S&P 500 data from the St. Louis Federal Reserve. Since 2010, the average monthly decline for the S&P 500 Index is -1.2%, the worst-performing month (excluding reinvested dividends). It’s important to note that this isn’t a new trend. Since 1970, the S&P 500 has averaged a 1.0% dip in September, which is also the worst-performing month during the period surveyed. September has finished higher six times since 2010. But last month, September didn’t buck the averages. The S&P 500 Index finished lower for the fourth-straight year. September’s Key Index Returns Index MTD % YTD % Dow Jones Industrial Average -4.5 1.1 Nasdaq Composite -5.8 26.3 S&P 500 Index -4.9 11.7 Russell 2000 Index -6.0 1.4 MSCI World ex-U.S.A* -3.7 4.2 MSCI Emerging Markets* -2.8 -0.4 Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond TR USD -3.2 -1.2.2 Source: Wall Street Journal, MSCI.com, MarketWatch, Bloomberg MTD returns: August 31, 2023–September 29, 2023 YTD returns: December 30, 2022–September 29, 2023 *U.S.D. Last month’s market decline cannot be attributed to economic weakness. In fact, the economy has been surprisingly resilient. There hasn’t been a significant increase in the rate of inflation
The LynnLeigh Journal 7 | Page either. Although gasoline prices have recently risen, the price hikes for most goods and services have moderated. Moreover, unexpected economic resilience may translate into stronger-than-expected corporate profits when Q3 reporting begins this month. Instead, a jump in Treasury yields and a hawkish tilt by the Federal Reserve generated stiffer headwinds. The Fed held its key rate, the fed funds rate, at 5.25%‐5.50% in September but kept the door open for another .25 percentage-point rate hike this year. While prior projections have indicated the possibility of rate cuts next year, the Fed penciled in fewer reductions, according to its official projections. It really boils down to economic performance and inflation. The rate of inflation has slowed, but inflation remains roughly double the Fed’s 2% annual target. The Fed is walking a tightrope. It hasn’t let up on its tough anti-inflation rhetoric, and it hopes to lower the rate of inflation without tipping the economy into a recession. Fed Chief Jerome Powell repeated the Fed’s 2% annual goal eight times in the opening remarks at the press conference that followed the Fed’s meeting. In contrast, investors had been betting that the Federal Reserve was finished raising interest rates while anticipating a more accommodative stance next year. Without diving into the minutia and academic theory behind interest rates and stock prices, let’s keep it simple. Higher interest rates create stiffer competition for an investor’s dollar.
The LynnLeigh Journal 8 | Page Investor’s corner Successful investors look past seasonal anomalies. While exercises that pinpoint general seasonal patterns make for an interesting discussion and may help uncover some of September’s weakness, we know that market timing and implementing strategies based on timing aren’t a realistic approach. So, focus on what you can control. You cannot control returns, but you can control your investment strategy and plan. Successful long-term investors recognize that a disciplined approach is the shortest path to achieving financial objectives. I really hope you found this review helpful! If you have any questions or concerns, please feel free to reach out to me or anyone on my team. We're here to help! To our valued clients, thank you for choosing us among the many advisors available to you. Your decision to work with our firm is truly appreciated, and I am deeply honored to be your financial advisor. If you are not yet a client but are intrigued by our exceptional client experience, I would be thrilled to have a conversation with you. Let's meet and discuss all the possibilities!
The LynnLeigh Journal 9 | Page LynnLeigh & Company - A Registered Investment Advisor This information is provided by LynnLeigh & Co. for general information and educational purposes based upon publicly available information from sources believed to be reliable – LynnLeigh & Co. advisors cannot assure the accuracy or completeness of these materials. The information presented here is not specific to any individual’s personal circumstances. To the extent that this material concerns tax matters, it is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, by a taxpayer for the purpose of avoiding penalties that may be imposed by law. Each taxpayer should seek independent advice from a tax professional based on his or her individual circumstances. The information in these materials may change at any time and without notice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns. All the best,