simplebooklet thumbnail

of 0
Summary of Draft
2045 Long Range Transportation Plan
The George Washington Region includes the
City of Fredericksburg and the counties of
Caroline, King George, Spotsylvania and
Stafford
The FAMPO urbanized area includes the City
of Fredericksburg and the counties of
Spotsylvania and Stafford
FAMPO is governed by a Policy Committee
which consists of 11 elected and non-elected
voting members
Non-voting members include:
Caroline and King George counties
Federal Highway Administration
Virginia Department of Rail & Public Transportation
Virginia Commonwealth Transportation Board
Member
FAMPO Citizens Transportation Advisory Group
Member
1
Fredericksburg Area Metropolitan Planning Organization
George Washington
Region
Plan Overview and Current Conditions
2
Update to the 2040 Plan
Addresses the region’s future system for all
modes of transportation
Highways
Bicycles and Pedestrians
Transit and Transportation Demand Management
Freight
Aviation
Plan is comprised of two parts:
Needs (not constrained by revenues)
Constrained (conforms to forecasted revenues)
Transportation issues already exist, and will
continue to worsen unless addressed
comprehensively
Regional dialogue is necessary to address the
constrained plan’s financing assumptions
Plan is a significant policy document for the
region
Existing
Volume/Capacity
Ratios
Historic Growth and Development
Region has a population of more than 350,000
Region is the fastest-growing in Virginia
Over 400% increase in region’s population since 1970
Growth in Spotsylvania and Stafford counties
70% of all recent residential development
75% of all recent commercial development
Recent growth has created opportunities and challenges
More services
Increase in home values
More jobs
More traffic and congestion
Environmental impacts
3
Existing
Population
Density
Region is forecasted to grow 86% to approximately
652,000 persons by 2045
Region will remain the fastest growing in Virginia
Future growth is likely to be low density and largely
suburban with pockets of density identified in local
comprehensive plans
Opportunities will include:
Increasing property values
More jobs coming to the region
Challenges will become more acute, including:
Public transportation choices will be limited
Transportation funding challenges will increase
Congestion will increase
Mobility will decrease
Auto-orientation will increase
Future Growth and Development
4
2045
Population
Density
Regional Land Use Scenario Planning Study
initiated in 2009 and continued in 2014-2015
Purpose was to explore and debate local and
regional growth visions, trade-offs and
alternative futures
Five growth scenarios examined
1. Decentralized Growth
2. Green Print
3. Compact Center & Corridors
4. Jobs/Housing Balance
5. Comprehensive Plans
Comprehensive Plans Scenario used in FAMPO
travel demand model to develop Land Use Plan
Land Use and Transportation
Future
Land Use
Assumptions
5
Civic & Institutional
Heavy Industry
Light Industry
Large-Lot Residential Neighborhood
Metropolitan Center
Multifamily Suburban Neighborhood
Mobile Home Community
Military Base
Mixed Use Neighborhood
Preserved Open Space
Regional Airport
Rural Crossroads
Rural Living
Suburban Commercial Center
Small-Lot Suburban Neighborhood
Suburban Office Center
Town Center
Transit Oridented Development
Urban Development Area
Working Farm
Region faces significant increases in travel
demand over the next 27 years
Without improvements to the
transportation system:
Congestion will increase
Mobility will be reduced
Region’s economic competitiveness will
suffer
Current funding levels are not forecasted to
be sufficient to cover future transportation
needs
Gas tax revenues will not keep pace
with need as vehicle fleet transitions to
hybrid and electric vehicles
Transit funding faces fiscal cliff
2045 Long Range Transportation Plan
6
2045 Congestion
With No Highway
Improvements
Plan is not fiscally constrained
Five needs plans were developed for both urban and rural areas:
1. Highway Needs Plan
2. Bicycle & Pedestrian Plan
3. Transit and Transportation Demand Management Plan
4. Freight Plan
5. Aviation Plan
Regional Needs Plan
7
Major routes and facilities will struggle to meet
travelers’ demand
I-95, US 1, US 17, and US 301/Route 207
Amtrak/VRE/CSX
Route 2, Route 3, Route 208, and Route 610
Many bridges will need rehabilitation or
replacement
Highway Plan mitigates the majority of regional
traffic congestion and other transportation issues
Carries a significant cost of $5.37 billion,
including $103 million in bicycle and pedestrian
needs
Highway Needs
Regional
Highway
Needs Plan
8
I-95 from Phase 2 Study
I-95 SB 4
th
Lane from Southern Terminus of SB River Crossing to Exit 126 with Harrison Rd
Bridge Replacement
Exit 126 Onramp improvement from Rte 1 to I-95 NB
Some Exit 133 and Exit 130 interchange improvements not included in SB and NB River
Crossing projects
Other Critical Regional Highway Needs
US 301/Rte 207 capacity and safety improvements to accommodate future increased traffic
Rte 17 Business capacity and safety improvement in Stafford
Rte 3 capacity and safety improvements in City of Fredericksburg
Rte 2/Business 17 capacity and safety improvements in City of Fredericksburg and
Spotsylvania County
Rte 1 capacity and safety improvement in City of Fredericksburg
Harrison Rd widening in Spotsylvania
Top Highway Needs
9
Closely coordinated with the Highway Plan
Would increase non-vehicular mobility
Making biking and walking safer and more convenient
Provides non-drivers with mobility and autonomy
Would close gaps in the existing network
Increase residential and commercial connectivity
Communities close to existing bike/ped infrastructure may
not have access to it
Would create a complete system of sidewalks,
bikeways, trails and other facilities
Increasing region’s attractiveness as a place to live and work
Particularly attractive to younger workers, e.g., Millenials
Bicycle and Pedestrian Needs
Bicycle and
Pedestrian
Needs Plan
10
New commuter bus service
Two New: FAMPO to NOVA/DC
North Stafford to Quantico VRE
Caroline to Spotsylvania VRE
Fredericksburg to Dahlgren
New local bus service
Downtown Circulator
Lee Hill Transfer Center
Caroline to Spotsylvania/Fredericksburg
Fredericksburg to King George
North Stafford to Quantico
Provides increased mobility for non-drivers
Local and Commuter Transit Needs
Transit
Needs
11
Focused on the I-95 corridor commuter market
Increased commuter services
Park and ride lot capacity increased
Mine Rd Stafford
Commonwealth Drive - Spotsylvania
New park and ride lots
Rte 17 East Stafford
Rte 3 East Stafford
Chatham Heights - Stafford
Current TDM programs augmented
Vanpool and rideshare
Total expenditure of $78.1 million
TDM Needs
TDM
Needs
12
Resulting congestion if all highway projects are built in
the Needs Plan
Still some congestion on I-95 and on primary and
secondary routes in the urbanized area
Very little congestion in the rural areas
Forecasted Needs Plan Outcomes
13
2045 LOS
With all Needs
Constructed
Recommended improvements are
revenue constrained
Extent of projects is limited
Many of the region’s highways will
remain congested
Fewer bicycle and pedestrian
projects will be implemented
Less transit service and fewer
Transportation Demand
Management programs will be
operated
Region’s economic competitiveness
will suffer without additional
improvements beyond those included
in constrained plan.
Financially Constrained Plan
14
TRANSPORTATION REVENUE AND COST SUM M ARY
Transportation Needs
Area Costs
Highways/Bicycle and Pedestrian (Includes
PnR
Improvements)
$5,372,667,000
Commuter Transit Capital and Operations
$117,073,322
Total Transportation Needs
$5,489,740,322
Transportation Revenues
Area
Revenue Forecast
Highways/Bicycle and Pedestrian
$1,306,300,000
Commuter Transit Capital and Operations
$111,800,000
Local Transit/Highways
$463,400,000
GWRC Transit (Section 5307)
$30,200,000
Total Transportation Revenues
$1,911,700,000
Transportation Funding Summary
Total Needs
$5,489,740,322
Total Revenues
$
1,911,700,000
Funding Shortfall
$3,578,040,322
Note: Costs a re in 2018 dolla rs
Project identified based on fiscal constraint and prioritization
Prioritization Methodology adopted by the FAMPO Policy Committee
Ranks projects based on the following factors:
Current and Future Congestion
Safety and Security
Environmental Impact
Public and Community Support
Ease of Implementation and Funding
Economic Growth and Efficient Land Use
Approximately $1.3 billion available for projects
Constrained Highway and Bicycle & Pedestrian Plans
15
Address congestion and mobility in a limited area
Considerable investment in transportation regionally
Fully-funded high profile projects:
I-95 SB Rappahannock River Crossing
I-95 NB Rappahannock River Crossing
95 Express Lanes Fredericksburg Extension
Harrison Road Widening
Courthouse Road Interchange Relocation and Widening
Significant Projects for Engineering and Studies
95 Express Lanes to Exit 126
Stafford Parkway
Lafayette Boulevard
Route 1 (Jefferson Davis Highway)
Constrained Highway and Bicycle & Pedestrian Plans
16
Constrained
Highway,
Bike & Pedestrian
Plan
Resulting highway congestion if all projects in the
Constrained Plan are built
Still significant congestion on I-95, US 1, US 17,
as well as a number of primary and secondary
routes throughout the region
Forecasted Constrained Highway Plan Outcomes
17
2045 LOS
Under
Constrained
Plan
Virginia Railway Express
Brooke and Leeland Rd Station Improvements
Additional Rail Cars
FREDericksburg Regional Transit
Due to financial constraints, FREDericksburg Regional
Transit has minimal expansion
Park and Ride Lot Expansion
7 new/expanded park and ride lots
Transportation Demand Management Improvements
Include commuter bus routes
Capital assistance for vanpools
Increased guaranteed ride home program
Carpool and vanpool incentives for riders and drivers
Marketing initiatives
Constrained Transit and TDM Projects
18
Constrained
Transit & TDM
Plan
The best decisions are made with a fully-informed and involved public, and your opinion makes a difference on
vital transportation and planning issues in the region. There are many ways that you can get involved and make a
difference. It all depends on your time and interest!
Get Involved
19
Join our mailing list by sending an email to
fampo@gwregion.org
Come to FAMPO Committee meetings
Visit us on:
Website: www.fampo.gwregion.org
Facebook: www.facebook.com/FAMPO1VA
Twitter: www.twitter.com/FAMPO_VA
Give us your comments during public comment periods
Attend public information meetings
Attend public hearings
Send a letter via USPS: 406 Princess Anne Street,
Fredericksburg, VA 22401
Give us a phone call: 540.373.2890
Send us a fax: 540.899.4808
Comment online: www.fampo.gwregion.org
GWRC/FAM PO Title VI Nondiscrimination Statement
“The George Washington Regional Commission and the Fredericksburg Area Metropolitan Planning Organization fully comply
with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and its related statutes and regulations in all programs and activities. For more
information or to obtain a Discrimination Complaint Form, please visit www.gwregion.org or www.fampo.gwregion.org or call
(540)-373-2890. Para información en español, llame al (540)-373-2890.